it is easier to buy and sell that fry an egg.
Fooled by numbers
? Placebo investors
? Nobody has to be competent
? Regression to the mean
? ? Ergo divots
Life is coincidental
? ? The mysterious letter
? ? An interrupted tennis game
? ? Reverse surviors
? ? ? The birthday paradox
? ? ? It's a small world
? ? ? Data mining ,statistics,and? ? ? charlatan ism
? ? The best book I have ever read
? ? ? The back tester
? ? ? A more unsettling extension
? ? The earnings season:fooled by the results
Comparative luck
? ? Cancer cures
? ? Professor person goes to Monte Carlo :randomness does not look randomness!
The dog that did not bark:on bias? in scientific knowledge
I have no conclusion
Outside of this very specialized bookmaker-style profession,to be honest,I am unable to answer the question of who's lucky or unlucky.
I can tell that person A seems less lucky than person B,but the confidence in such konwledge can be so weak as to be meanningless .
I prefer to remain a skeptic.
People frequently misinterpret my opinion .
I never said that every rich man is an idiot and every unsuccessful person unlucky,only that in absence of much additional information it is preferable to reserve one's judgement.
It is safer.
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