探索式回歸工具的測(cè)試與結(jié)果解析

參考

測(cè)試一

分析內(nèi)容

  • 數(shù)據(jù)源 TI_ZoneStatis咖刃，記錄數(shù)57條腐宋，其中
    —— 因變量：駐點(diǎn)區(qū)域的單位時(shí)間內(nèi)（2019年8月）的總復(fù)電時(shí)長(zhǎng)TI_ZoneFaultInfo.SUM_TI_FaultPointInfo_TI_LeaveToResume
    —— 解釋變量：駐點(diǎn)區(qū)域的人數(shù)TI_ZonePersonCount.COUNT_USER_NAME
    —— 解釋變量：駐點(diǎn)區(qū)域單位時(shí)間內(nèi)的故障數(shù)TI_ZoneFaultInfo.FREQUENCY
  • 默認(rèn)閾值參數(shù)設(shè)置
    —— 校正 R 平方：0.5
    —— 系數(shù) p 值 ：0.05
    —— 方差膨脹因子 VIF：7.5
    —— Jarque-Bera p 值：0.1
    —— 空間自相關(guān) p 值：0.1

工具運(yùn)行結(jié)果

Parameters
Input Features  TI_ZoneStatis
Dependent Variable  TI_ZoneFaultInfo.SUM_TI_FaultPointInfo_TI_LeaveToResume
Candidate Explanatory Variables TI_ZonePersonCount.COUNT_USER_NAME;TI_ZoneFaultInfo.FREQUENCY
Weights Matrix File 
Output Report File  
Output Results Table    
Maximum Number of Explanatory Variables 5
Minimum Number of Explanatory Variables 1
Minimum Acceptable Adj R Squared    0.5
Maximum Coefficient p value Cutoff  0.05
Maximum VIF Value Cutoff    7.5
Minimum Acceptable Jarque Bera p value  0.1
Minimum Acceptable Spatial Autocorrelation p value  0.1
 
Messages
Start Time: 2019年12月26日 11:00:36
Running script ExploratoryRegression...
 WARNING 001605: Distances for Geographic Coordinates (degrees, minutes, seconds) are analyzed using Chordal Distances in meters.
 WARNING 001171: Cannot construct models with 5 variables.
 WARNING 001172: Setting Maximum Number of Variables parameter to: 2.
******************************************************************************
Choose 1 of 2 Summary
                Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results               
AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                             
 0.78 1478.91 0.89  0.00 1.00 0.17  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***     
-0.01 1566.35 0.00  0.44 1.00 0.23  +TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME
                                  Passing Models                                  
AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                        
0.781877 1478.907478 0.892218 0.000139 1.000000 0.166937  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
******************************************************************************
Choose 2 of 2 Summary
                                Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                               
AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                             
 0.78 1480.84 0.94  0.00 1.02 0.12  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
       Passing Models       
AdjR2 AICc JB K(BP) VIF SA   Model
******************************************************************************
Exploratory Regression Global Summary (TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_FAULTPOINTINFO_TI_LEAVETORESUME)
Percentage of Search Criteria Passed             
                   Search Criterion Cutoff Trials # Passed % Passed
             Min Adjusted R-Squared > 0.50      3        2    66.67
            Max Coefficient p-value < 0.05      3        1    33.33
                      Max VIF Value < 7.50      3        3   100.00
            Min Jarque-Bera p-value > 0.10      3        2    66.67
Min Spatial Autocorrelation p-value > 0.10      3        3   100.00
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Variable Significance                 
Variable                           % Significant % Negative % Positive
TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY                100.00       0.00     100.00
TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME          0.00      50.00      50.00
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Multicollinearity               
Variable                            VIF Violations Covariates
TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME 1.02     0      --------  
TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY         1.02     0      --------
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Residual Normality (JB)                                           
      JB     AdjR2        AICc    K(BP)      VIF       SA   Model                                                             
0.941548  0.779323 1480.841662 0.000710 1.018190 0.119914  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
0.892218  0.781877 1478.907478 0.000139 1.000000 0.166937  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                     
0.000011 -0.011504 1566.353268 0.437676 1.000000 0.230225  +TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Residual Spatial Autocorrelation (SA)                                    
      SA     AdjR2        AICc       JB    K(BP)      VIF   Model                                                             
0.119914  0.779323 1480.841662 0.941548 0.000710 1.018190  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
0.166937  0.781877 1478.907478 0.892218 0.000139 1.000000  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                     
0.230225 -0.011504 1566.353268 0.000011 0.437676 1.000000  +TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table Abbreviations
AdjR2 Adjusted R-Squared                                     
AICc  Akaike's Information Criterion                         
JB    Jarque-Bera p-value                                    
K(BP) Koenker (BP) Statistic p-value                         
VIF   Max Variance Inflation Factor                          
SA    Global Moran's I p-value                               
Model Variable sign (+/-)                                    
Model Variable significance (* = 0.10; ** = 0.05; *** = 0.01)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Completed script Exploratory Regression...
Succeeded at 2019年12月26日 11:00:37 (Elapsed Time: 0.60 seconds)

參數(shù)解析

  • 閾值條件解釋：
    —— 模型合格需要小于設(shè)置的最大 p 值系數(shù)邊界 0.05
    —— AdjR2易结，校正的R平方，用于評(píng)估模型性能 / 模型預(yù)測(cè)的準(zhǔn)確度线欲。值的大小表示模型可解釋因變量中多少百分比的變化。模型合格需要大于設(shè)置的可接受的最小校正 R 平方0.5俄精。
    —— AICc询筏，經(jīng)過(guò)修正的 Akaike 信息準(zhǔn)則，用于比較不同模型竖慧。值越小嫌套，模型越好。具有越小 AICc 值的模型會(huì)更符合已觀測(cè)的數(shù)據(jù)圾旨。
    —— JB踱讨，Jarque-Bera p 值，用于評(píng)估模型的偏差砍的，檢驗(yàn)正態(tài)分布的偏差是否具有統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)上的顯著性痹筛。模型合格需要大于設(shè)置的可接受的最小Jarque Bera p 值0.1
    —— K(BP)，Koenker 的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化 Breusch-Pagan p 值廓鞠，用于評(píng)估模型的穩(wěn)態(tài)帚稠，用于確定模型的解釋變量是否在地理空間和數(shù)據(jù)空間中都與因變量具有一致的關(guān)系。對(duì)于大小為 95% 的置信度床佳，p 值（概率）小于 0.05 表示模型具有統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)上的顯著異方差性和/或非穩(wěn)態(tài)滋早。
    —— VIF，最大方差膨脹因子砌们，用于測(cè)量解釋變量中的冗余杆麸，一般來(lái)說(shuō)搁进，超過(guò)設(shè)置的閾值表示有冗余。合格模型需要小于設(shè)置的可接受的最大 VIF 邊界值 7.5昔头。
    —— SA饼问，殘差空間自相關(guān)的測(cè)量（Global Moran’s I p 值），評(píng)估殘差的空間自相關(guān)揭斧。合格模型需要大于設(shè)置的可接受的最小空間自相關(guān) p 值 0.1
    —— 其中莱革，通過(guò)的模型表示在接受所有默認(rèn)搜索條件（可接受的最小校正 R 平方、最大 p 值系數(shù)邊界未蝌、最大 VIF 值邊界驮吱、可接受的最小 Jarque Bera p 值和可接受的最小空間自相關(guān) p 值參數(shù)）的前提下， 模型合格

結(jié)果分段解析

  • 工具分別挑選1個(gè)和2個(gè)解釋變量進(jìn)行組合運(yùn)行普通最小二乘法回歸OLS萧吠，對(duì)嘗試的模型進(jìn)行評(píng)估
  • 選中 1 / 2 執(zhí)行最大校正 R 平方結(jié)果
    —— 解釋變量故障數(shù)FREQUENCY的模型顯著左冬，可以解釋78%的因變量，為合格模型纸型。
Choose 1 of 2 Summary
                Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results               
AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                             
 0.78 1478.91 0.89  0.00 1.00 0.17  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***     
-0.01 1566.35 0.00  0.44 1.00 0.23  +TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME
                                  Passing Models                                  
AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                        
0.781877 1478.907478 0.892218 0.000139 1.000000 0.166937  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
  • 選中 2 / 2 執(zhí)行最大校正 R 平方結(jié)果
    —— 沒找到合格的模型
Choose 2 of 2 Summary
                                Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                               
AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                             
 0.78 1480.84 0.94  0.00 1.02 0.12  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
       Passing Models       
AdjR2 AICc JB K(BP) VIF SA   Model
  • 探索式回歸全局匯總
Exploratory Regression Global Summary (TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_FAULTPOINTINFO_TI_LEAVETORESUME)
Percentage of Search Criteria Passed             
                   Search Criterion Cutoff Trials # Passed % Passed
             Min Adjusted R-Squared > 0.50      3        2    66.67
            Max Coefficient p-value < 0.05      3        1    33.33
                      Max VIF Value < 7.50      3        3   100.00
            Min Jarque-Bera p-value > 0.10      3        2    66.67
Min Spatial Autocorrelation p-value > 0.10      3        3   100.00
  • 變量顯著性匯總
    —— 故障數(shù)的顯著性為100%拇砰，駐點(diǎn)人數(shù)為0%
Summary of Variable Significance                 
Variable                           % Significant % Negative % Positive
TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY                100.00       0.00     100.00
TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME          0.00      50.00      50.00
  • 多重共線性匯總
    —— 無(wú)冗余
Summary of Multicollinearity               
Variable                            VIF Violations Covariates
TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME 1.02     0      --------  
TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY         1.02     0      --------
  • 殘差正態(tài)的匯總
    —— 包含解釋變量故障數(shù)的模型具有顯著性。
    —— 只含有解釋變量駐點(diǎn)人數(shù)的模型不顯著狰腌。
Summary of Residual Normality (JB)                                           
      JB     AdjR2        AICc    K(BP)      VIF       SA   Model                                                             
0.941548  0.779323 1480.841662 0.000710 1.018190 0.119914  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
0.892218  0.781877 1478.907478 0.000139 1.000000 0.166937  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                     
0.000011 -0.011504 1566.353268 0.437676 1.000000 0.230225  +TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME
  • 殘差自相關(guān)的匯總
    —— 包含解釋變量故障數(shù)的模型具有顯著性除破。
    —— 只含有解釋變量駐點(diǎn)人數(shù)的模型不顯著。
Summary of Residual Spatial Autocorrelation (SA)                                    
      SA     AdjR2        AICc       JB    K(BP)      VIF   Model                                                             
0.119914  0.779323 1480.841662 0.941548 0.000710 1.018190  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
0.166937  0.781877 1478.907478 0.892218 0.000139 1.000000  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                     
0.230225 -0.011504 1566.353268 0.000011 0.437676 1.000000  +TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME

階段性結(jié)論

單位時(shí)間內(nèi)（2019年8月）琼腔，各駐點(diǎn)區(qū)域的總復(fù)電時(shí)長(zhǎng)與該區(qū)域的故障數(shù)關(guān)系顯著瑰枫，與該區(qū)域的駐點(diǎn)人數(shù)關(guān)系不顯著。

測(cè)試二

Parameters
Input Features  TI_ZoneStatis
Dependent Variable  TI_ZoneFaultInfo.SUM_TI_FaultPointInfo_TI_LeaveToResume
Candidate Explanatory Variables TI_ZoneStatis.SHAPE_Leng;TI_ZoneStatis.Shape_Area;TI_ZonePersonCount.COUNT_USER_NAME;TI_ZoneFaultInfo.FREQUENCY;TI_ZoneFaultInfo.SUM_TI_GPSLine_DISTANCE
Weights Matrix File 
Output Report File  
Output Results Table    
Maximum Number of Explanatory Variables 5
Minimum Number of Explanatory Variables 1
Minimum Acceptable Adj R Squared    0.5
Maximum Coefficient p value Cutoff  0.05
Maximum VIF Value Cutoff    7.5
Minimum Acceptable Jarque Bera p value  0.1
Minimum Acceptable Spatial Autocorrelation p value  0.1

Messages
Start Time: 2019年12月26日 11:09:29
Running script ExploratoryRegression...
WARNING 001605: Distances for Geographic Coordinates (degrees, minutes, seconds) are analyzed using Chordal Distances in meters.
******************************************************************************
Choose 1 of 5 Summary
                   Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                    
AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                      
0.78 1478.91 0.89  0.00 1.00 0.17  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***              
0.12 1558.20 0.00  0.37 1.00 0.22  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE***
0.02 1564.55 0.00  0.45 1.00 0.33  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA                   
                                 Passing Models                                  
AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                        
0.781877 1478.907478 0.892218 0.000139 1.000000 0.166937  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
******************************************************************************
Choose 2 of 5 Summary
                                  Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                  
AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                   
0.78 1480.61 0.90  0.00 1.16 0.09  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE
0.78 1480.84 0.94  0.00 1.02 0.12  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***      
0.78 1480.93 0.92  0.00 1.03 0.11  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                
      Passing Models       
AdjR2 AICc JB K(BP) VIF SA   Model
******************************************************************************
Choose 3 of 5 Summary
                                                    Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                                     
AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                                                        
0.79 1478.32 0.75  0.00 5.92 0.89  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                     
0.78 1481.81 0.87  0.00 1.77 0.29  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**        
0.78 1482.64 0.97  0.00 1.18 0.06  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE
                                                               Passing Models                                                               
AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                                                                                   
0.793774 1478.323064 0.745280 0.000104 5.921915 0.891006  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
******************************************************************************
Choose 4 of 5 Summary
                                                                   Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                                                   
AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                                                                                     
0.80 1479.32 0.67  0.00 6.23 0.91  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***             
0.79 1480.24 0.80  0.00 6.34 0.86  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**     
0.78 1483.84 0.94  0.00 1.78 0.22  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**
                                                                                     Passing Models                                                                                      
AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                                                                                                                                
0.791954 1480.241588 0.800448 0.000171 6.337681 0.859701  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**
******************************************************************************
Choose 5 of 5 Summary
                                                                                   Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                                                                   
AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                                                                                                                     
0.79 1481.38 0.74  0.00 6.67 0.86  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG***  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE*
      Passing Models       
AdjR2 AICc JB K(BP) VIF SA   Model
******************************************************************************
Exploratory Regression Global Summary (TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_FAULTPOINTINFO_TI_LEAVETORESUME)
Percentage of Search Criteria Passed             
                  Search Criterion Cutoff Trials # Passed % Passed
            Min Adjusted R-Squared > 0.50     31       16    51.61
           Max Coefficient p-value < 0.05     31        4    12.90
                     Max VIF Value < 7.50     31       31   100.00
           Min Jarque-Bera p-value > 0.10     31       16    51.61
Min Spatial Autocorrelation p-value > 0.10     15       11    73.33
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Variable Significance                    
Variable                                 % Significant % Negative % Positive
TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY                      100.00       0.00     100.00
TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE         43.75       0.00     100.00
TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG                         25.00      87.50      12.50
TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA                         25.00      12.50      87.50
TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME                0.00      50.00      50.00
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Multicollinearity                  
Variable                                  VIF Violations Covariates
TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG                 6.24     0      --------  
TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA                 6.67     0      --------  
TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME       1.08     0      --------  
TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY               1.19     0      --------  
TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE 1.90     0      --------
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Residual Normality (JB)                                                                             
     JB    AdjR2        AICc    K(BP)      VIF       SA   Model                                                                                                                                   
0.985942 0.776451 1482.920357 0.000149 1.050026 0.069601  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                           
0.973258 0.777540 1482.642003 0.000129 1.178170 0.059345  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE                           
0.973112 0.773314 1485.132557 0.000241 1.892902 0.054804  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Residual Spatial Autocorrelation (SA)                                                                                       
     SA    AdjR2        AICc       JB    K(BP)      VIF   Model                                                                                                                                                                     
0.907084 0.795280 1479.323035 0.666325 0.001442 6.232262  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                             
0.891006 0.793774 1478.323064 0.745280 0.000104 5.921915  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                                                                  
0.860542 0.793254 1481.383145 0.743731 0.001920 6.669903  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG***  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE*
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table Abbreviations
AdjR2 Adjusted R-Squared                                     
AICc  Akaike's Information Criterion                         
JB    Jarque-Bera p-value                                    
K(BP) Koenker (BP) Statistic p-value                         
VIF   Max Variance Inflation Factor                          
SA    Global Moran's I p-value                               
Model Variable sign (+/-)                                    
Model Variable significance (* = 0.10; ** = 0.05; *** = 0.01)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Completed script Exploratory Regression...
Succeeded at 2019年12月26日 11:09:30 (Elapsed Time: 0.49 seconds)

測(cè)試三

Parameters
Input Features  TI_FaultPointInfo
Dependent Variable  TI_FaultPointInfo.TI_LeaveToResume
Candidate Explanatory Variables TI_GPSLine.DISTANCE
Weights Matrix File 
Output Report File  
Output Results Table    
Maximum Number of Explanatory Variables 5
Minimum Number of Explanatory Variables 1
Minimum Acceptable Adj R Squared    0.5
Maximum Coefficient p value Cutoff  0.05
Maximum VIF Value Cutoff    7.5
Minimum Acceptable Jarque Bera p value  0.1
Minimum Acceptable Spatial Autocorrelation p value  0.1
 
Messages
Start Time: 2019年12月26日 11:12:43
Running script ExploratoryRegression...
 WARNING 001605: Distances for Geographic Coordinates (degrees, minutes, seconds) are analyzed using Chordal Distances in meters.
 WARNING 001171: Cannot construct models with 5 variables.
 WARNING 001172: Setting Maximum Number of Variables parameter to: 1.
******************************************************************************
Choose 1 of 1 Summary
          Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results         
AdjR2      AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model               
 0.00 211946.80 0.00  0.06 1.00 0.00  +TI_GPSLINE.DISTANCE*
       Passing Models       
AdjR2 AICc JB K(BP) VIF SA   Model
******************************************************************************
* Exploratory Regression Global Summary (TI_FAULTPOINTINFO.TI_LEAVETORESUME) *
Percentage of Search Criteria Passed             
                   Search Criterion Cutoff Trials # Passed % Passed
             Min Adjusted R-Squared > 0.50      1        0     0.00
            Max Coefficient p-value < 0.05      1        0     0.00
                      Max VIF Value < 7.50      1        1   100.00
            Min Jarque-Bera p-value > 0.10      1        0     0.00
Min Spatial Autocorrelation p-value > 0.10      1        0     0.00
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Variable Significance          
Variable            % Significant % Negative % Positive
TI_GPSLINE.DISTANCE          0.00       0.00     100.00
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Multicollinearity         
Variable                 VIF Violations Covariates
TI_GPSLINE.DISTANCE --------     0      --------
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Residual Normality (JB)                    
      JB    AdjR2          AICc    K(BP)      VIF       SA   Model               
0.000000 0.002982 211946.802860 0.058840 1.000000 0.000000  +TI_GPSLINE.DISTANCE*
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Residual Spatial Autocorrelation (SA)             
      SA    AdjR2          AICc       JB    K(BP)      VIF   Model               
0.000000 0.002982 211946.802860 0.000000 0.058840 1.000000  +TI_GPSLINE.DISTANCE*
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table Abbreviations
AdjR2 Adjusted R-Squared                                     
AICc  Akaike's Information Criterion                         
JB    Jarque-Bera p-value                                    
K(BP) Koenker (BP) Statistic p-value                         
VIF   Max Variance Inflation Factor                          
SA    Global Moran's I p-value                               
Model Variable sign (+/-)                                    
Model Variable significance (* = 0.10; ** = 0.05; *** = 0.01)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Completed script Exploratory Regression...
Succeeded at 2019年12月26日 11:12:52 (Elapsed Time: 9.12 seconds)

測(cè)試四

 
Parameters
Input Features  TI_ZoneStatis
Dependent Variable  TI_ZoneFaultInfo.SUM_TI_FaultPointInfo_TI_LeaveToResume
Candidate Explanatory Variables TI_ZoneStatis.SHAPE_Leng;TI_ZoneStatis.Shape_Area;TI_ZonePersonCount.COUNT_USER_NAME;TI_ZoneFaultInfo.FREQUENCY;TI_ZoneFaultInfo.SUM_TI_GPSLine_DISTANCE
Weights Matrix File 
Output Report File  
Output Results Table    
Maximum Number of Explanatory Variables 5
Minimum Number of Explanatory Variables 1
Minimum Acceptable Adj R Squared    0.5
Maximum Coefficient p value Cutoff  0.05
Maximum VIF Value Cutoff    7.5
Minimum Acceptable Jarque Bera p value  0.1
Minimum Acceptable Spatial Autocorrelation p value  0.1
 
Messages
Start Time: 2019年12月26日 10:09:38
Running script ExploratoryRegression...
 WARNING 001605: Distances for Geographic Coordinates (degrees, minutes, seconds) are analyzed using Chordal Distances in meters.
******************************************************************************
Choose 1 of 5 Summary
                    Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                    
AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                      
 0.78 1478.91 0.89  0.00 1.00 0.17  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***              
 0.12 1558.20 0.00  0.37 1.00 0.22  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE***
 0.02 1564.55 0.00  0.45 1.00 0.33  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA                   
                                  Passing Models                                  
AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                        
0.781877 1478.907478 0.892218 0.000139 1.000000 0.166937  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
******************************************************************************
Choose 2 of 5 Summary
                                   Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                  
AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                   
 0.78 1480.61 0.90  0.00 1.16 0.09  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE
 0.78 1480.84 0.94  0.00 1.02 0.12  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***      
 0.78 1480.93 0.92  0.00 1.03 0.11  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                
       Passing Models       
AdjR2 AICc JB K(BP) VIF SA   Model
******************************************************************************
Choose 3 of 5 Summary
                                                     Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                                     
AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                                                        
 0.79 1478.32 0.75  0.00 5.92 0.89  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                     
 0.78 1481.81 0.87  0.00 1.77 0.29  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**        
 0.78 1482.64 0.97  0.00 1.18 0.06  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE
                                                                Passing Models                                                               
AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                                                                                   
0.793774 1478.323064 0.745280 0.000104 5.921915 0.891006  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***
******************************************************************************
Choose 4 of 5 Summary
                                                                    Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                                                   
AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                                                                                     
 0.80 1479.32 0.67  0.00 6.23 0.91  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***             
 0.79 1480.24 0.80  0.00 6.34 0.86  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**     
 0.78 1483.84 0.94  0.00 1.78 0.22  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**
                                                                                      Passing Models                                                                                      
AdjR2    AICc        JB       K(BP)    VIF      SA         Model                                                                                                                                
0.791954 1480.241588 0.800448 0.000171 6.337681 0.859701  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE**
******************************************************************************
Choose 5 of 5 Summary
                                                                                    Highest Adjusted R-Squared Results                                                                                   
AdjR2    AICc   JB K(BP)  VIF   SA   Model                                                                                                                                                                     
 0.79 1481.38 0.74  0.00 6.67 0.86  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG***  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE*
       Passing Models       
AdjR2 AICc JB K(BP) VIF SA   Model
******************************************************************************
Exploratory Regression Global Summary (TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_FAULTPOINTINFO_TI_LEAVETORESUME)
Percentage of Search Criteria Passed             
                   Search Criterion Cutoff Trials # Passed % Passed
             Min Adjusted R-Squared > 0.50     31       16    51.61
            Max Coefficient p-value < 0.05     31        4    12.90
                      Max VIF Value < 7.50     31       31   100.00
            Min Jarque-Bera p-value > 0.10     31       16    51.61
Min Spatial Autocorrelation p-value > 0.10     15       11    73.33
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Variable Significance                    
Variable                                 % Significant % Negative % Positive
TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY                      100.00       0.00     100.00
TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE         43.75       0.00     100.00
TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG                         25.00      87.50      12.50
TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA                         25.00      12.50      87.50
TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME                0.00      50.00      50.00
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Multicollinearity                  
Variable                                  VIF Violations Covariates
TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG                 6.24     0      --------  
TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA                 6.67     0      --------  
TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME       1.08     0      --------  
TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY               1.19     0      --------  
TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE 1.90     0      --------
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Residual Normality (JB)                                                                             
      JB    AdjR2        AICc    K(BP)      VIF       SA   Model                                                                                                                                   
0.985942 0.776451 1482.920357 0.000149 1.050026 0.069601  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                           
0.973258 0.777540 1482.642003 0.000129 1.178170 0.059345  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE                           
0.973112 0.773314 1485.132557 0.000241 1.892902 0.054804  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Residual Spatial Autocorrelation (SA)                                                                                       
      SA    AdjR2        AICc       JB    K(BP)      VIF   Model                                                                                                                                                                     
0.907084 0.795280 1479.323035 0.666325 0.001442 6.232262  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                             
0.891006 0.793774 1478.323064 0.745280 0.000104 5.921915  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG**  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***                                                                                  
0.860542 0.793254 1481.383145 0.743731 0.001920 6.669903  -TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_LENG***  +TI_ZONESTATIS.SHAPE_AREA***  -TI_ZONEPERSONCOUNT.COUNT_USER_NAME  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.FREQUENCY***  +TI_ZONEFAULTINFO.SUM_TI_GPSLINE_DISTANCE*
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table Abbreviations
AdjR2 Adjusted R-Squared                                     
AICc  Akaike's Information Criterion                         
JB    Jarque-Bera p-value                                    
K(BP) Koenker (BP) Statistic p-value                         
VIF   Max Variance Inflation Factor                          
SA    Global Moran's I p-value                               
Model Variable sign (+/-)                                    
Model Variable significance (* = 0.10; ** = 0.05; *** = 0.01)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Completed script Exploratory Regression...
Succeeded at 2019年12月26日 10:09:39 (Elapsed Time: 0.74 seconds)
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