1. 檢驗(yàn)850hPa的1.5°*1.5°ERA-I數(shù)據(jù)6-11月中的每個(gè)格點(diǎn),區(qū)域?yàn)?.5°-29.5°N,108°E-180°摆出。將每個(gè)格點(diǎn)的...
Monsoon Gyres of the Northwest Pacific: Influences of ENSO, the MJO, and...
Role of the Monsoon Gyre in the Interannual Variation of Tropical Cyclon...
The bimodality of South Asia High and its relationship with Asian rainfa...
Long-Lead Predictability of Western North Pacific Subtropical High JGRA ...
摘要:本研究開(kāi)發(fā)了一個(gè)預(yù)測(cè)西北太平洋及其子區(qū)域(南海席函,西北太平洋西部求摇,西北太平洋東部)周際熱帶氣旋成因的L2正則化(防止過(guò)擬合峰鄙,引入?yún)?shù)λ控制各...
摘要:本文使用季節(jié)到次季節(jié)(S2S)預(yù)報(bào)數(shù)據(jù)集的模式研究了TC成因的次季節(jié)概率預(yù)報(bào)灿椅。以每周的時(shí)間分辨率對(duì)整個(gè)海盆TC頻次進(jìn)行預(yù)測(cè)套蒂。預(yù)報(bào)技巧使用B...
摘要:歐洲中心的預(yù)報(bào)系統(tǒng)對(duì)于預(yù)測(cè)南半球每周(時(shí)間尺度)熱帶氣旋生成的能力已經(jīng)過(guò)了評(píng)估并與最先進(jìn)的統(tǒng)計(jì)模式的能力進(jìn)行了比較。概率技能得分已經(jīng)應(yīng)用于...
state-of-the-art :最先進(jìn)的(art --- 理工科) hindcast:后報(bào)(使用歷史資料重現(xiàn)歷史氣候) calibratio...