The Economist-The battle for digital supremacy

1.1 How to engage and how not to

Designed by Apple in California. Assembled in China.' For the past decade the words embossed on the back of iPhones have served as shorthand for the technological bargain betwee the world's two biggest economies: America supplies the brains and China the brawn.

Now any more. China's world-class tech giants, Alibaba and Tencent, have market values of around 500 dollars billion, rivalling Facebook's. China has the largest online-payment market. Its equipment is being exported across the world. It has the fastest supercomputer. It is building the world's most lavish quantum-computing reserach centre. Its forthcoming satellite-navigation system will compete with America's GPS by 2020.

Amercia is rattled .An investigation is under way that is expected to conclude that Chin's theft of intellectual property has cost Amercian companies around 1 trillion dollars; stinging tariffs may follow. Earlier this year Congress introduced a bill to stop the government doing business with two Chinese telecoms firms, Huawei and ZTE. Eric Schmidt, the former chairman of Alphabet, Google's parent, has warned that China will overtake America in artificial intelligence by 2025.

This week President Donald Trump abruptly blocked a 142 dollar billion hostile takeover of Qualcomn, an American chipmaker, by Broadcom, a Singapore-domiciled rival, citing national-security fears over Chineses leadership in 5G, a new wireless technology. And so often, Mr Trump has identified a genuine challenge, but is bungling the response. China's technological rise requires a strategic answer, not a knee-jerk one.?

1.2 The motherboard of all wars

To understand what Amercia's strategy should be, first define the problem. It is entirely natural for a continet-sized, rapidly growing economy with a culture of scientific inquirey to enjoy a technologial renaissance. Already, China has one of the biggest clusters of AI scientists. It has over 800 million internet users, more than any other country, which meas more data on which to hone its new AI. The technological advances this brings will benefit countless people, Amercians among them. For the United States to seek to keep China down merely to preserve its place in the pecking order by, say, further balkanising the internet, is a recipe for a poorer, discordant-and possibly warlike-world.?

Yet its is one thing for a country to dominate televisions and toys, another the core information technologies. They are the basis for the manufacture, networking and destructive power fo advanced weapons systems. More generally, they are oftern subject to extreme network effects, in which one winner establishes an unassailable posistion in each market. This means that a country may e squeesed out of vital technologies by foreign rivals pumped up by state support. In the case of China, those rivals answer to an oppressive authoritarian? regime that increasingly holds itself up as an alternative to liberal democracy-particularly in its part of Asia. China insisits that it wants a winwin world. America has no choice but to see Chinese technology as a meas to an unwelcome end.?

The question is hwo to respond. The most important part of the answer is to remember the reasons for America's success in the 1950s and 1960s. Government programmes, intended to surpass the Soviet Union in space and weapons systems, galvanised investment in education, research and engineering across a braod range of technologies. This ultimately gave rise to Silicon Valley, where it was infused by a spirit of free inquiry, vigorous competiton and a healthy capitalise incentive to make money. IT was supercharged by an immigratino system that welcomed promising minds from every corner of the palnet. Sixty years after the Sputnik moment, Amercia needs the same combination of public investment and prvate enterprise in pursuit of a national project.?

1.3 Why use a scalpel when a hammer will do?

The other part of the answer is to update national-security safeguards for the realities of China's potential digital threats. The remit of the Committee on Foreign Investment in the US, a multi-agency bady charged with screening deals that affect national security, should be expanded so that minority investment in AI, say, can be scrutinised as well as outright acquisitions. Worries about a upplier of critical cmoponents do not have to result in outright bans. Britain found a creative way to mitigate some of its China-related security concerns, by using an evaluation centre with the power to dig right down into every detail of the hardware and software of the systmes that Huawei supplies for the telephone network.

Set against these standards, Mr Trump falls short on every count. The Braodcom decision suggests that valid suspicion of Chinese echnology is blurring in to out-and-out protectionism. Broadcom is not even Chineses; the justification for blocking the deal was that it was likely to inveset less in R&D than Qualcomm, letting China seize a leas in setting standards.

Mr Trump has reportedly already rejected on e plan ofr tariffs on China to compensate for forced techology transfer but only because the amounts were too small. Were America to impose duties on Chiense consumer electronics, for example, it would harm its own prosperitey wthout doing anything for national security. An aggressively anti-China tack has the obvious risk of a trade tit-for-tat that would leave the world's two largest economies both worse off and also more insucure.?

Mrr Trump's apporach is defined only by what he can do to stifle China, not by what he can do to improve Amercia's prospect. His record on that score is abysmal. America's federal government spending on R&D was 0.6% of GDP in 2015, a third of what it was in 1964. Yet the president's budget proposal for 2019 includes a 42.3% cut in non-defence discretionary spending by 2028, which is where funding for scientific research sits. He ahs mede it harder for skilled immigrants to get visas to enter America. He and some of his party treat scientific evidence ith contempt-specifically the science which warns of the looming threat of climate change. Amercia is right to worry about Chineses tech. But for America to turn its back on the thins that made it great is no answer.?

?著作權(quán)歸作者所有,轉(zhuǎn)載或內(nèi)容合作請聯(lián)系作者
  • 序言:七十年代末,一起剝皮案震驚了整個(gè)濱河市,隨后出現(xiàn)的幾起案子白指,更是在濱河造成了極大的恐慌,老刑警劉巖铲觉,帶你破解...
    沈念sama閱讀 206,311評(píng)論 6 481
  • 序言:濱河連續(xù)發(fā)生了三起死亡事件森缠,死亡現(xiàn)場離奇詭異祝闻,居然都是意外死亡,警方通過查閱死者的電腦和手機(jī)甘苍,發(fā)現(xiàn)死者居然都...
    沈念sama閱讀 88,339評(píng)論 2 382
  • 文/潘曉璐 我一進(jìn)店門尝蠕,熙熙樓的掌柜王于貴愁眉苦臉地迎上來,“玉大人载庭,你說我怎么就攤上這事看彼。” “怎么了囚聚?”我有些...
    開封第一講書人閱讀 152,671評(píng)論 0 342
  • 文/不壞的土叔 我叫張陵靖榕,是天一觀的道長。 經(jīng)常有香客問我顽铸,道長茁计,這世上最難降的妖魔是什么? 我笑而不...
    開封第一講書人閱讀 55,252評(píng)論 1 279
  • 正文 為了忘掉前任谓松,我火速辦了婚禮星压,結(jié)果婚禮上,老公的妹妹穿的比我還像新娘毒返。我一直安慰自己租幕,他們只是感情好舷手,可當(dāng)我...
    茶點(diǎn)故事閱讀 64,253評(píng)論 5 371
  • 文/花漫 我一把揭開白布拧簸。 她就那樣靜靜地躺著,像睡著了一般男窟。 火紅的嫁衣襯著肌膚如雪盆赤。 梳的紋絲不亂的頭發(fā)上,一...
    開封第一講書人閱讀 49,031評(píng)論 1 285
  • 那天歉眷,我揣著相機(jī)與錄音牺六,去河邊找鬼。 笑死汗捡,一個(gè)胖子當(dāng)著我的面吹牛淑际,可吹牛的內(nèi)容都是我干的。 我是一名探鬼主播扇住,決...
    沈念sama閱讀 38,340評(píng)論 3 399
  • 文/蒼蘭香墨 我猛地睜開眼春缕,長吁一口氣:“原來是場噩夢啊……” “哼!你這毒婦竟也來了艘蹋?” 一聲冷哼從身側(cè)響起锄贼,我...
    開封第一講書人閱讀 36,973評(píng)論 0 259
  • 序言:老撾萬榮一對(duì)情侶失蹤,失蹤者是張志新(化名)和其女友劉穎女阀,沒想到半個(gè)月后宅荤,有當(dāng)?shù)厝嗽跇淞掷锇l(fā)現(xiàn)了一具尸體屑迂,經(jīng)...
    沈念sama閱讀 43,466評(píng)論 1 300
  • 正文 獨(dú)居荒郊野嶺守林人離奇死亡,尸身上長有42處帶血的膿包…… 初始之章·張勛 以下內(nèi)容為張勛視角 年9月15日...
    茶點(diǎn)故事閱讀 35,937評(píng)論 2 323
  • 正文 我和宋清朗相戀三年冯键,在試婚紗的時(shí)候發(fā)現(xiàn)自己被綠了惹盼。 大學(xué)時(shí)的朋友給我發(fā)了我未婚夫和他白月光在一起吃飯的照片。...
    茶點(diǎn)故事閱讀 38,039評(píng)論 1 333
  • 序言:一個(gè)原本活蹦亂跳的男人離奇死亡惫确,死狀恐怖逻锐,靈堂內(nèi)的尸體忽然破棺而出,到底是詐尸還是另有隱情雕薪,我是刑警寧澤昧诱,帶...
    沈念sama閱讀 33,701評(píng)論 4 323
  • 正文 年R本政府宣布,位于F島的核電站所袁,受9級(jí)特大地震影響盏档,放射性物質(zhì)發(fā)生泄漏。R本人自食惡果不足惜燥爷,卻給世界環(huán)境...
    茶點(diǎn)故事閱讀 39,254評(píng)論 3 307
  • 文/蒙蒙 一蜈亩、第九天 我趴在偏房一處隱蔽的房頂上張望。 院中可真熱鬧前翎,春花似錦稚配、人聲如沸。這莊子的主人今日做“春日...
    開封第一講書人閱讀 30,259評(píng)論 0 19
  • 文/蒼蘭香墨 我抬頭看了看天上的太陽。三九已至立宜,卻和暖如春冒萄,著一層夾襖步出監(jiān)牢的瞬間,已是汗流浹背橙数。 一陣腳步聲響...
    開封第一講書人閱讀 31,485評(píng)論 1 262
  • 我被黑心中介騙來泰國打工尊流, 沒想到剛下飛機(jī)就差點(diǎn)兒被人妖公主榨干…… 1. 我叫王不留,地道東北人灯帮。 一個(gè)月前我還...
    沈念sama閱讀 45,497評(píng)論 2 354
  • 正文 我出身青樓崖技,卻偏偏與公主長得像,于是被迫代替她去往敵國和親钟哥。 傳聞我的和親對(duì)象是個(gè)殘疾皇子迎献,可洞房花燭夜當(dāng)晚...
    茶點(diǎn)故事閱讀 42,786評(píng)論 2 345

推薦閱讀更多精彩內(nèi)容