01 A ticket to where?
Donald Trump and J.D. Vance carry a message about the direction of the party most likely to run America共和黨真的好會造勢肩碟，特朗普被刺殺后馬上就有新人出
One of the best arguments Democrats can use against Mr?Trump is that he threatens democratic norms. Yet bis courage?in the moment of the shooting made him seem, however briefly,?more like a defender of American values than a threat?to?them特朗普被刺殺后的表現(xiàn)確實厲害强窖，超勇，心理素質(zhì)是厲害的
For one thing, this week has crystallized how utterly Mr?Trump dominates the Republican Party.現(xiàn)在才是共和黨的主導(dǎo)地位嗎削祈？我以為一直都是的
So confident?is he of?victory today?that he has tapped J.D. Vance, an articulate anti-globalist?anti-big business, anti-immigration, pro-worker, MAGA enthusiast?who has little experience and does nothing to broaden Mr?Trump's electoral?appeal...Now he has become Mr Trump's heir apparent天哪翅溺，這人是這個形象嗎？竟然還是特朗普繼承人髓抑，小紅書好多人捧他寫的書
外交方面：On Taiwan, Mr Vance's?views are unclear, while Mr Trump says the island should pay?for American protection from China. On Ukraine, Mr Vance?has gone further than Mr Trump, saying that he does not care?which side wins, to the alarm of European allies. Recently he?has backed away from this.媽呀咙崎，好瘋，我唯一想到的是特朗普不會隨便給其他國家錢花了
美國經(jīng)濟：Mr Vance’s views mix online meme?culture, venture-capital-speak and some lefty policies that?would thrill Bernie Sanders. He wants the state to protect?blue-collar workers from competition and raise the minimumwage to $20 an hour. 竟然還融合了左翼的觀點启昧，提高最低工資叙凡，這樣下去左翼右翼又要傻傻分不清了
Were he to become vice-president, Mr Vance's views would not automatically become the positions of Mr Trump's government... And, crucially, Mr Vance's views fit with Mr Trump's all-caps electoral platform.雖然萬斯觀點不能完全代表特朗普的立場，但是符合特朗普的競選綱領(lǐng)
Mr Trump leaves the convention in Milwaukee stronger than?seemed possible only a few?months ago. His legal cases no longer?threaten him, his party is in thrall to him, the polls promise?a clean sweep of Congress and the White House.現(xiàn)實真的比電視劇還魔幻密末，現(xiàn)在特朗普是受害的寶寶握爷，輕易打不得，說不得严里，會犯眾怒
02 can Kamala Harris win?
Joe Biden's vice-president has an extraordinary opportunity. But she also has a mountain to climb她有機會贏Ｐ绿洹！刹碾！
Her task is to make the election a referendum on Mr Trump,who is unpopular outside his devoted MAGA base...she must also satisfy voter that she is equal to the job of president讓不喜歡特朗普的人也投票燥撞，還要讓人覺得她有勝任總統(tǒng)的能力
her chances of success rest on one enormous piece of luck and three tests of her political instincts：她的成功在于機遇和3個考驗
機遇:the luck was Mr Biden's obstinacy.Had he given way sooner,the party could have held an open primary and Ms Harris might have lost時機的重要性
考驗1：The first is to articulate the convictions that will be the foundation for her presidency, without lapsing into promises to hand out welfare cheques闡明將成為她總統(tǒng)任期基礎(chǔ)的信念
例如：acknowledge voters' struggle with inflation,speak out strongly for women reproductive rights,trans women have unfair advantage in competitive women's sports女性候選人說女性的話題就是有說服力
考驗2：The second test is what she makes of having been a prosecutor and a state attorney-general作為檢察官和州檢察長的經(jīng)歷
例如：bash away at Mr Trump as a convicted felon,use her experience as the foundation for abroad argument that she can be trusted to defend American values at home and abroad,should endorse America's global role as the guardian of norms and rules專業(yè)對口的強烈抨擊罪犯特朗普，捍衛(wèi)美國價值觀，支持美國作為規(guī)范和規(guī)則守護者的全球角色
考驗3：The third test is to offer America hope給美國帶來希望（這個在哪個國家來說都挺難的）
例如：peddle apocalyptic visions of a second Trump term原來策略是說特朗普不好物舒，我想成了她要宣傳由她領(lǐng)導(dǎo)這個國家未來會有多好
Ms Harris is running a rushed operation. if her campaign starts to go?awry,recrimination about her uncontested nomination will soon follow哈里斯倉促行動色洞，如果出現(xiàn)差錯很快就會被指責(zé)
例子：her first big decision：vice-president Josh Shapiro，could help in a must-win state,但是競爭對手是Mark Kelly冠胯，would also add to the ticket只能說決定倉促火诸，結(jié)果未出很難說對錯
